{"id":52524,"date":"2026-10-01T09:30:55","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T12:30:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\/radio\/?p=52524"},"modified":"2026-10-01T09:30:57","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T12:30:57","slug":"consumo-las-provincias-del-nea-concentran-las-caidas-mas-profundas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\/radio\/2026\/10\/01\/consumo-las-provincias-del-nea-concentran-las-caidas-mas-profundas\/","title":{"rendered":"Consumo: las provincias del NEA concentran las ca\u00eddas m\u00e1s profundas"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un informe de la consultora Ficonomics es concluyente respecto al efecto federal de la malaria. Las 24 provincias tienen el consumo en rojo y las ventas a precios constantes entre enero y julio est\u00e1n casi 16 por ciento abajo de igual per\u00edodo del 2023, previo a la llegada de Milei, y un 7 por ciento menos que en 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"790\" height=\"528\" src=\"https:\/\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\/radio\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/80273w790h528c.webp.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-52525\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\/radio\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/80273w790h528c.webp.webp 790w, http:\/\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\/radio\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/80273w790h528c.webp-300x201.webp 300w, http:\/\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\/radio\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/80273w790h528c.webp-768x513.webp 768w, http:\/\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\/radio\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/80273w790h528c.webp-640x428.webp 640w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 790px) 100vw, 790px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El trabajo, titulado &#8220;El changuito vac\u00edo&#8221;, precisa que &#8220;el consumo masivo retrocede en todo el pa\u00eds y (\u2026) no hay ninguna jurisdicci\u00f3n donde el consumo en supermercados haya recuperado su nivel previo&#8221;. La consultora, que preside el economista Emiliano Estrada, muestra que &#8220;la intensidad del ajuste tiene una geograf\u00eda n\u00edtida. El NEA (\u221232,8%) y el NOA (\u221227,3%) concentran las ca\u00eddas m\u00e1s profundas, mientras la regi\u00f3n Pampeana (\u221211,2%) y la Patagonia (\u221210,9%) muestran las m\u00e1s moderadas&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Asimismo, &#8220;en el extremo inferior del ranking est\u00e1 Formosa (\u221239,3%); en el superior, Neuqu\u00e9n (\u22123,1%), la m\u00e1s cercana al nivel de 2023\u2033. Precisan all\u00ed que los ingresos formales s\u00f3lo explican una parte de la crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Los salarios, una parte de la crisis<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Argumentan que &#8220;el salario real privado registrado, en promedio m\u00f3vil anual, recuper\u00f3 el nivel de noviembre de 2023 en 15 de 24 jurisdicciones, pero el camino dej\u00f3 una p\u00e9rdida neta acumulada en 19 de 24, que suma unos $12,98 billones de masa salarial&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Por otra parte, &#8220;el salario p\u00fablico provincial perdi\u00f3 poder de compra en 19 de 23 jurisdicciones con datos, y el empleo privado registrado cay\u00f3 en 22 de 24. Aun sumando salario p\u00fablico provincial y privado, la relaci\u00f3n entre salario y consumo entre provincias es d\u00e9bil: la compresi\u00f3n del ingreso disponible por los precios regulados, la p\u00e9rdida de empleo formal y la informalidad completan la explicaci\u00f3n&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Se pregunta Ficonomics entonces, \u00bfCu\u00e1nto de la ca\u00edda del consumo explica el salario? Dicen que &#8220;para responderlo hay que mirar todo el salario registrado y no solo el privado: en 14 de las 23 jurisdicciones con datos fiscales, el salario de la administraci\u00f3n provincial representa m\u00e1s del 40 por ciento de la masa salarial registrada, y en 8 supera la mitad, con Formosa en 77,5 por ciento; en el otro extremo est\u00e1 CABA, con 10,9 por ciento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">El ranking de ventas<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ficonomics especifica que el ranking de ventas reales confirma que el retroceso &#8220;es generalizado pero muy desigual. La distancia entre el mejor y el peor registro supera los 36 puntos&#8221;: Formosa vende 39,3% menos que en 2023, mientras Neuqu\u00e9n se ubica apenas 3,1% por debajo, siendo el lugar donde reside Vaca Muerta, la meca del petr\u00f3leo nacional. Todas las jurisdicciones del GBA y de la Patagonia se ubican en la mitad superior del ranking; todas las del NEA, en la inferior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Si se mira el mapa por regi\u00f3n, la idea queda m\u00e1s clara. &#8220;El NEA pierde 32,8 por ciento contra 2023 y 14,1 por ciento en el \u00faltimo a\u00f1o, y el NOA, 27,3 por ciento y 9,4 por ciento. En el otro extremo, la Patagonia cede 10,9 por ciento&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ponen aqu\u00ed el ojo en que el salario registrado medido contra el \u00edndice de precio no justifica, por si s\u00f3lo, esa ca\u00edda. Explica el informe que entre noviembre de 2023 y mayo de 2026, deflactado por el IPC general, &#8220;el salario privado registrado var\u00eda entre \u22122,1 por ciento y +3,7 por ciento seg\u00fan la regi\u00f3n. Pero el mismo salario nominal, medido contra lo que m\u00e1s subi\u00f3, cuenta otra historia: frente a los precios regulados \u2014tarifas, combustibles, transporte, salud prepaga, educaci\u00f3n\u2014 el poder de compra cae entre 27,5 por ciento y 38,3 por ciento, y frente a vivienda, agua, electricidad y gas, todav\u00eda m\u00e1s&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As\u00ed las cosas, &#8220;esa brecha es la que comprime el ingreso disponible: lo que queda para el consumo despu\u00e9s de pagar gastos que el hogar no puede postergar. El ordenamiento refuerza la lectura: el NOA y el NEA, las dos regiones donde el salario m\u00e1s perdi\u00f3 frente a los regulados, son tambi\u00e9n las de mayor ca\u00edda del consumo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"post-excerpt\"><p>Un informe de la consultora Ficonomics es concluyente respecto al efecto federal de la malaria. Las 24 provincias tienen el consumo en rojo y las ventas a precios constantes entre enero y julio est\u00e1n casi 16 por ciento abajo de igual per\u00edodo del 2023, previo a la llegada de Milei, y un 7 por ciento<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":52525,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52524","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Consumo: las provincias del NEA concentran las ca\u00eddas m\u00e1s profundas - Horizonte<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\/radio\/2026\/10\/01\/consumo-las-provincias-del-nea-concentran-las-caidas-mas-profundas\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Consumo: las provincias del NEA concentran las ca\u00eddas m\u00e1s profundas - Horizonte\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Un informe de la consultora Ficonomics es concluyente respecto al efecto federal de la malaria. Las 24 provincias tienen el consumo en rojo y las ventas a precios constantes entre enero y julio est\u00e1n casi 16 por ciento abajo de igual per\u00edodo del 2023, previo a la llegada de Milei, y un 7 por ciento\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\/radio\/2026\/10\/01\/consumo-las-provincias-del-nea-concentran-las-caidas-mas-profundas\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Horizonte\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/HORIZONTE106.1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-10-01T12:30:55+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-10-01T12:30:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\/radio\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/80273w790h528c.webp.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"790\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"528\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Cristian Galarza\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@fmhorizonte1061\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@fmhorizonte1061\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Cristian Galarza\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tiempo de lectura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\\\/radio\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/01\\\/consumo-las-provincias-del-nea-concentran-las-caidas-mas-profundas\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\\\/radio\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/01\\\/consumo-las-provincias-del-nea-concentran-las-caidas-mas-profundas\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Cristian Galarza\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\\\/radio\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/f8fa003a405bb86729fd87d15d0ddafa\"},\"headline\":\"Consumo: las provincias del NEA concentran las ca\u00eddas m\u00e1s profundas\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-10-01T12:30:55+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-10-01T12:30:57+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\\\/radio\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/01\\\/consumo-las-provincias-del-nea-concentran-las-caidas-mas-profundas\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":667,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\\\/radio\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\\\/radio\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/01\\\/consumo-las-provincias-del-nea-concentran-las-caidas-mas-profundas\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\\\/\\\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\\\/radio\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/80273w790h528c.webp.webp\",\"articleSection\":[\"Noticias\"],\"inLanguage\":\"es-AR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\\\/radio\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/01\\\/consumo-las-provincias-del-nea-concentran-las-caidas-mas-profundas\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.radiohorizonte.fm\\\/radio\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/01\\\/consumo-las-provincias-del-nea-concentran-las-caidas-mas-profundas\\\/\",\"name\":\"Consumo: las provincias del NEA concentran las ca\u00eddas m\u00e1s profundas - 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